Remaining useful life prediction for degrading systems with random shocks considering measurement uncertainty

Degradation data have been widely used for the remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of systems. Most existing works apply a preset model to capture the degradation process and focus on the degradation process without shocks or constant shock effects. More generally, the actual degradation path is unobservable due to the existence of measurement uncertainty, which interferes with the determination of the degradation model. Besides, the effect of random shocks is usually fluctuating. Given these problems, a general degradation model with the random shock fluctuant effects considering the measurement uncertainty is first developed to describe the degradation process, and a two-step approach combining the arithmetic average filter and the Bayesian information criterion is adopted to identify the degradation path. Subsequently, the transfer processes of the actual degradation state and the abrupt change caused by shocks are depicted using a two-dimensional state-space model, and an expectation-maximization algorithm combined with the particle filtering is developed for parameter estimation. Furthermore, the explicit solution of RUL distribution is obtained when only considering harmful shocks, while a simulation method of RUL distribution is provided when both harmful and beneficial shocks exist. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by a numerical example and two practical case studies.     

Model-Based Design Space Exploration for FPGA-based Image Processing Applications Employing Parameterizable Approximations

The increasing demand for low power consumption and high computational performance is outpacing available technological improvements in embedded systems. Approximate computing is a novel design paradigm trying to bridge this gap by leveraging the inherent error resilience of certain applications and trading in quality to achieve reductions in resource usage. Numerous approximation methods have emerged in this research field. While these methods are commonly demonstrated in isolation, their combination can increase the achieved benefits in complex systems. However, the propagation of errors throughout the system necessitates a global optimization of parameters, leading to an exponentially growing design space. Additionally, the parameterization of approximated components must consider potential cross-dependencies between them. This work proposes a systematic approach to integrate and optimally configure parameterizable approximate components in FPGA-based applications, focusing on low-level but high-bandwidth image processing pipelines. The design space is explored by a multi-objective genetic algorithm which takes parameter dependencies between different components into account. During the exploration, appropriate models are used to estimate the quality-resource trade-off for probed solutions without the need for time-consuming synthesis. We demonstrate and evaluate the effectiveness of our approach on two image processing applications that employ multiple approximations. The experimental results show that the proposed methods are able to produce a wide range of Pareto-optimal solutions, offering various choices regarding the desired quality-resource trade-off.     

基于GA-BP的汽车风振噪声声品质预测模型

目前对于汽车风振噪声的优化研究主要以声压级（Sound pressure level，SPL）作为单一评价指标，既不能全面反映噪声的物理属性，也无法考虑人耳对噪声的主观认知过程。为准确评价风振噪声，引入声品质，运用大涡模拟（Large eddy simulation，LES）对风振噪声进行数值仿真，根据实车道路试验判断仿真的准确性；对仿真结果进行声品质客观评价与主观评价，综合声品质客观评价参数与声品质主观评价试验结果建立BP神经网络预测模型；利用遗传算法（Genetic algorithm，GA），进一步对BP神经网络的结构参数进行优化，建立GA-BP声品质预测模型。研究结果表明，GA-BP声品质预测模型在训练速度和预测精度上都优于BP神经网络预测模型。预测模型基于声品质主客观评价结果，其预测值可以代替传统的声压级评价指标，为风振噪声提供更为准确合理的评价。     

基于Prophet人工智能算法的网络潮汐效应预测研究

本文使用Prophet人工智能算法研究与预测移动通信网络“潮汐效应”现象，探索网络“潮汐效应”在优化网络资源配置实现网络降本增效的作用。Prophet人工智能算法是一种简单、有效，且易于实现的人工智能算法。通过facebook的人工智能开源框架fbprophet，研究4G网络PRB利用率等网络资源指标的“潮汐效应”，并预测这些网络资源指标在未来的变化趋势，用来指导当前4G网络减容、扩容和4/5G节电节能等，实现优化网络资源配置达到降本增效的目的。     

面向分拣机器人的珍珠形状视觉检测方法

针对人工进行珍珠形状分拣效率低、精度不稳定等问题,提出基于机器视觉的珍珠形状检测方法;采用背光成像方式消除珍珠表面纹理和光泽的影响,对获取的珍珠图像进行同态滤波等预处理算法,提高图像对比度;为了解决相互接触珍珠影响珍珠轮廓提取的问题,采用分水岭算法对珍珠图像进行分割,得到了独立存在的珍珠个体,再通过连通域标记、质心算法对珍珠进行定位;根据国家标准对珍珠形状的规定,基于珍珠图像信息建立珍珠形状参数模型,对珍珠形状进行量化;实验结果表明,不同形状的珍珠样本的检测误差为0.63%,形状统计精度为100%,算法耗时24 ms;该方法可准确高效地对珍珠进行分拣分级,具有一定的实用价值。     

接触器触头系统振动机理分析及算法优化

为了解决合闸过程中动、静触头接触引起的振动弹跳问题.本文建立了接触系统的二自由度运动微分方程,并利用遗传算法对交流接触器吸合过程进行优化,同时通过高速摄影实验对接触弹跳的全过程进行了观察和分析.结果表明:理论与实验结果高度一致,铁心在触头分离前发生碰撞,进一步加剧触头弹跳;铁芯弹跳再次碰撞时,触头的弹跳不受影响;在接触器运行过程中,动铁芯的运动会引起系统轻微振动;采用遗传算法优化的接触器触头弹跳时间和最大振幅均减小.研究结果为进一步控制和减小接触弹跳提供了理论依据.     

基于改进LFM算法的主动解列断面搜索方法

针对传统解列断面算法复杂度高的问题,提出一种基于改进LFM算法的解列断面搜索方式。首先,基于节点间电气联系和能量转移分布熵完成电网加权复杂网络建模;其次,基于主动解列断面约束条件,对LFM算法做适应性改良;最后,通过改进LFM算法得到解列断面,并在IEEE39节点系统中验证了算法有效性。仿真结果表明,改进LFM算法可充分考虑传统解列断面的约束条件,在算法具有较低复杂度的同时对系统运行状态更强的适应性。     

The impact of hydrogen refueling station subsidy strategy on China's hydrogen fuel cell vehicle market diffusion

Lack of hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) has hindered the diffusion of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) in the Chinese transport market. By combining the agent-based model (ABM) and the experience weighted attraction (EWA) learning algorithm, this paper explores the impact of government subsidy strategy for HRSs on the market diffusion of HFCVs. The actions of the parties (government, HRS planning department and consumers) and their interactions are taken into account. The new model suggests dynamic subsidy mode based on EWA algorithm yields better results than static subsidy mode: HFCV purchases, HRS construction effort, total number of HRSs and expected HRS planning department profits all outperform static data by around 27%. In addition, choosing an appropriate initial subsidy strategy can increase the sales of HFCVs by nearly 40%. Early investment from government to establish initial HRSs can also increase market diffusion efficiency by more than 76.7%.